Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 8.375523 9.574361 10.896054 12.463260 14.273493 16.301841 18.751177
2025-08-31 6.589406 8.102992 9.905454 12.217359 15.114496 18.638565 23.270986
2025-09-07 5.844407 7.574017 9.751625 12.709193 16.644135 21.730991 28.856415
2025-09-14 5.193040 7.021429 9.429678 12.856988 17.646976 24.159123 33.777645
2025-09-21 4.634267 6.497126 9.047517 12.826304 18.337682 26.166903 38.281406
2025-09-28 4.150133 6.007068 8.637648 12.677110 18.797142 27.839946 42.431689
2025-10-05 3.907921 5.828504 8.638064 13.100666 20.110478 30.864202 48.929175
2025-10-12 3.675765 5.634888 8.586656 13.423637 21.280115 33.761159 55.532044
2025-10-19 3.505717 5.515059 8.628008 13.882147 22.692368 37.163601 63.335076
2025-10-26 3.183225 5.122226 8.200351 13.532432 22.728027 38.285180 67.339625
2025-11-02 2.934889 4.825565 7.897736 13.353705 23.020651 39.848403 72.270560
2025-11-09 2.721568 4.567249 7.633409 13.209464 23.347635 41.485024 77.494948
2025-11-16 2.514690 4.305481 7.345781 13.005528 23.561724 42.965829 82.658205
2025-11-23 2.320285 4.048992 7.045188 12.748652 23.649383 44.215287 87.512927
2025-11-30 2.263424 4.030369 7.160863 13.263387 25.235421 48.462171 98.901720
2025-12-07 2.158405 3.915088 7.090714 13.418076 26.133795 51.449073 108.030606
2025-12-14 2.037161 3.759608 6.932622 13.385961 26.652367 53.716525 115.881694
2025-12-21 1.910699 3.584144 6.722242 13.229808 26.898686 55.438988 122.726710
2025-12-28 1.866842 3.563482 6.806356 13.673133 28.434912 60.040474 136.692702
2026-01-04 1.812997 3.518712 6.838848 14.011209 29.776959 64.357471 150.548454
2026-01-11 1.777254 3.506913 6.935349 14.491204 31.474685 69.641988 167.432820
2026-01-18 1.657104 3.314883 6.650607 14.125097 31.240425 70.491104 173.405469
2026-01-25 1.563683 3.171287 6.455314 13.938004 31.396335 72.263199 181.956089